Sunday, November 4, 2012

State of the Race, 2 Days Out.  In my lifetime, this is certainly the most uncertain presidential race I have ever witnessed.  Being a rank amateur at election prognostication, I certainly don’t expect anyone to put much stock in what I predict.  Having said that, I will go ahead and state my expectation that Romney wins on Tuesday with 315 electoral votes.  I think he will win the popular vote by a count of 52 to 47, and I believe the Republicans will fall just short (a seat or two) of gaining control of the Senate.  The Republicans will retain control of the House.  If true, it is deeply regrettable that we will face the specter of a Republican President and House repeatedly knocking heads with a Democrat Senate; continued gridlock is not the electoral solution that I and many others were seeking this cycle.  It will certainly put the bipartisan skills (so highly touted by himself) of Romney to the test and will essentially guarantee (not a bad thing, in my opinion) that any legislation that passes will be center-right and not far-right.
For all of its venom, hypocrisy, and factual ineptitude, this campaign has served this nation well.  Two distinctly different visions have been set before the American voting public and any voter who has made any attempt to be self-informed has no excuse for not understanding the consequences of their vote.   We will get the Government we deserve. 
I personally believe that Romney clearly represents the best opportunity for this nation to get back on the right track towards attaining fiscal stability and vibrant economic health; I leave foreign policy status to those who are more informed and more intelligent.  However, for all of its pitfalls and clumsiness, our election process works.  If Obama is re-elected, with the likelihood in that instance of a Democrat Senate, the Democratic Party will be held clearly and directly accountable for the state of this nation over the next four years and that will establish the tone of the 2016 election cycle (notwithstanding the 2014 cycle).  Whatever your policy position, this is as it should be.  A party should be held accountable for its agenda and stand ready to accept either the benefits of success or the recriminations of failure. 
The puzzling thing to me is this: Given that Obama had a Democrat Senate and House for his first two years in office, along with the overwhelming good will of the American voting public, why would anyone expect any different agenda for a second term?  And if the foregoing statement is true, why in the world would anyone want to lock-in the current condition for the next four years?

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